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Garnaut Report, Three Key Questions Ignored

Viv Forbes

July 4, 2008



http://canadafreepress.com/index.php/article/3818



Have man's emissions of CO2 caused unusual global warming or done harm
to the world environment?



"Will the world follow our brave example or will Australia and New
Zealand be left hanging like dead dingos on a barbed wire fence?"



An Australian Group of Global Warming Sceptics today claimed that the
Garnaut Report had totally ignored the three key questions in the
debate.



The chairman of The Carbon Sense Coalition, Mr Viv Forbes, said that the
major question is a scientific one: "Have man's emissions of CO2 caused
unusual global warming or done harm to the world environment?" An
increasing number of scientists all over the world are very clear on
this and their answer is a resounding "NO".



(For starters see the Oregon Petition:  And the Manhattan Declaration)



It is irresponsible for the government to get this far without having an
independent enquiry on the science, a fundamental first step in a
rational due diligence of this massive economic intervention. (See: Call
for an Australian New Zealand Royal Commission)



"The second question not considered by the Garnaut Report is "What are
the full costs and benefits likely to accrue to Australians if we embark
on this course?"



This major question is avoided by explanations of "no data" or "the
modelling is not completed".



"Already we are seeing the costs associated with misguided policies
designed to reduce Global Warming: a world shortage of food cause by
diversion of land from food production to ethanol; power shortages and
blackouts as power station construction is deferred; soaring prices for
gas as people are coerced to convert from one carbon fuel to another;
shortages of refined diesel and petrol as refinery construction is
delayed; and instability and losses in financial markets concerned about
the future cost of travel, transport, energy and food."



"But nowhere have we seen estimates of the total cost of all the taxes,
disruptions, shortages, cost increases and unnecessary investments
associated with all the emission permits, ration coupons, energy
mandates, trading schemes, quotas, bureaucracy and approvals."



"The third key question not considered by Professor Garnaut, is "Is it
politically likely that rest of the world will adopt these draconian
mitigation policies, or will Australia and New Zealand be left hanging
like dead dingos on a barbed wire fence?"



"No democracy will accept the costs and disruptions envisaged to achieve
the fairy-land goals for cuts in carbon emissions. Therefore this whole
mitigation scheme must fail and will eventually be abandoned, but only
after causing huge costs."



"The rejection of green taxes in recent UK by-elections, the defeat of
the Emissions Trading proposals by the US Senate, the revolt about
electricity prices among German politicians, the worldwide food riots
and the truckie blockades all over Europe should surely warn our
worldly-wise PM that this decision is just too hard, even for him."



"Even if we faced more global warming, which is the better way to go -
prepare to adapt, or try to change the world and its climate?  Is
adaptation or mitigation the sensible policy?"



"The climate is always changing and will continue to do so no matter
what Professor Garnaut and Minister Wong say or do about it. Our
ancestors have survived massive climate change - floods of Biblical
dimensions, storms more violent than Katrina, volcanism to dwarf
Krakatau, Saharan droughts, seas that evaporated and then flooded back
and flourishing greenhouse forests followed by glacial ages of ice."



"Many species and individuals died in the periodic ages of chaos but our
ancestors adapted and survived. They went on to thrive in the occasional
warm, moist, calm periods like today. (Incidentally, polar bears also
managed to adapt and survive periods warmer and colder than today.) The
best we can do today is to make sure we have the financial and
industrial resources to cope with whatever the climate has in store for
us."



"And if Mother Nature has another Little Ice Age in store, that will
cause more damage than any one of the 23 different computer generated
global warming predictions from the Mis-fortune Tellers at the IPCC."



Viv Forbes, Chairman,The Carbon Sense Coalition, has spent his life
working in exploration, mining, farming, infrastructure, financial
analysis and political commentary. He has worked for government
departments, private companies and now works as a private contractor and
farmer.



Viv has also been a guest writer for the Asian Wall Street Journal,
Business Queensland and mining newspapers. He was awarded the
"Australian Adam Smith Award for Services to the Free Society" in 1988,
and has written widely on political, technical and economic subjects.



Viv can be reached at: info@carbon-sense.com
--


Warmest Regards

Bonzo

"IPCC staff is working feverishly on a theory that supports global
cooling as proof of global warming. Stay tuned." Addison Gardner

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